The Cell phone Effect - What it really signifies for Election 2010

According to studies by the Pew Research Center, there’s a "cell phone effect" that should prompt voters to question the validity of early Election 2010 outcomes. As the NY Times puts it, about a quarter of American adults use mobile phones exclusively. This discrepancy can throw off poll results by as much as four points, writes the Times. Resource for this article – What the cell phone effect means to Election 2010 by Personal Money Store.

A stronger group of Democrats with the Cell phone Effect

According to Pew Research, younger adults that aren't typically Caucasian and live in urban areas made the "cell phone effect" important as those are the cell phone-only voters. Democrats tend to be within these demographics too. A four point difference for democrats is probably not seen now but could possibly be there.

Is this an unhappiness being shown?

Polls conducted without cell phones by Pew showed Republicans to be ahead by 9.3 points on average. Part of that could be because of the Cell phone Effect, while the rest could be attributed to unhappiness with the Obama administration’s inability to quickly remedy problem issues like joblessness and also the housing industry. Many say it is more attributed to the Cell phone Effect since there isn't that kind of swing when cell phones do tend to be involved. After results are verified, the Election 2010 data can be analyzed by Pew some more.

Discovering bias among those regarded probably to vote

The people considered probably to vote in Election 2010 are the ones being polled. Pew research claims that there’s a prejudice there. A seven point republican lead had been shown in a land line/call phone poll. 43 percent were for Democrats when the GOP candidates were supported by half. There had been a land line only poll done too, shows Pew Research. This shows us that a 12-point lead was what republicans had.

Articles cited

New York Times

fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/01/5-reasons-democrats-could-beat-the-polls-and-hold-the-house/

Pew Research Center

pewresearch.org/pubs/1761/cell-phones-and-election-polls-2010-midterm-elections

How the cell phone effect helped Obama in 2008

youtube.com/watch?v=KMmvo73EZHc